Back to the heat... This week could be an exact copy of last week's weather, with slightly cooler daytime highs. However, heat indices will still break the century mark. As usual in the summertime, there is a chance of an afternoon shower. We have no distinct forcing mechanisms today, so prediction of where it will rain today is quite tough. Today's rain chances will be entirely based upon afternoon heating and small scale boundaries. With PW values near 2 inches, surface dewpoints in the mid 70's, and high temps near 95-98, the opportunity for rainfall exists. I wouldn't go much higher than 20-30% for rain chances today, however, as no synoptic forcing mechanisms are present.
Forecast: High: 95-98F , Lo:77-79F , Rain %: 20-30%
Tropics:


The National Hurricane Center has identified an area near the eastern shore of Florida that has potential to become a tropical storm. Although they have low confidence in its development, I thought it was interesting to note that the North American Mesoscale Model (NAM) identifies an area of low pressure just west of FL in the gulf by noon tomorrow. Just something to watch...
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