Forecast/Discussion: Tuesday September 7, 2010

Discussion: Temperatures will start the day in the mid-60's in NW Alabama, with dewpoints in the mid-upper 50's. This will make for a very pleasant start to our morning. Expect temps to warm throughout the day to the mid 90's. Heat Index shouldn't be a problem today as low-level moisture shouldn't be abundant. Rain chances also look minimal today with dry air aloft. It seems our chances should pick up slightly later this week.

For today, look for clear skies with a high near 95F and an overnight low near 67F. Rain chances are less than 10%.

Forecast/Discussion: Monday 8/30/2010

Most of our area has experienced a rainy weekend, which was somewhat unexpected based on weather data from late last week. However, I don't think anyone could complain as we all recieved beneficial rainfall. Today should be rainy as well, as an area of high pressure is situated to our east, providing southerly flow and a moist air mass. I wouldn't expect the coverage in rain that we have seen over the past few days, but today should be our last day before conditions dry out a little. Expect high's to remain in the upper 80's as cloud cover and intermittent rain helps to keep temps down.

Forecast:
HI: 87-89
LO: 70-72
RAIN: 50% after noon

Tropics:
Hurricane Earl is still alive and well as a CAT 2 in the Carribean. He is expected to turn north in response to a weakness in the ridge, however he will come dangerously close to the Eastern Seaboard. He will not impact our weather directly, however, I would expect to see a drop in daytime highs mid-week if the track is adjusted much farther west. More to follow soon.....

Forecast/Discussion: Friday 8/27/2010

Discussion: Overnight lows stayed 5-7 degrees warmer than I had expected, reading 67 F in Hamilton and 71 in Fayette. Regardless, morning temperatures are pleasant and today shouldn't differ much from yesterday. Not much to mention in this benign weather pattern... Dry air aloft inhibits any rain chances, while also lowering dewpoints, heat indices, and night-time lows.

Forecast:
HI: 91-93 F
LO: 68-72 F
RAIN: 10% or less

Tropics: Still two names storms in the gulf, Danielle (CAT 4) and Earl (TS). Neither pose a threat to the US, however, the NHC is monitoring a new wave off the African coast that may show significance in the coming days. Look for Tropical Storm Fiona soon.

Forecast/Discussion: Thursday 8/26/2010

Discussion: Temperatures this morning range from 68F in Fayette to 64 in Hamilton. Tomorrow morning should be the coolest, however, with readings in the lower 60's. A cold front is stretched across TN and will work its way southward and through our area today. I wouldn't expect much if anything in the way of rain associated with the front, just another reinforcing shot of dry air. The front will provide northerly flow for a few days and keep our temperatures closer to average, if not slightly below average.

Forecast:
HI: 87-90 (Cooler in the northern cities)
LO: 61-64
RAIN: Less than 10%

Tropical Update: Hurricane Danielle has gained strength and now has max winds of 105 mph. She is currently at CAT 2 status and is expected to briefly reach CAT 3 status. Current forecast takes her north and out to sea by early next week. Tropical Storm Earl is located to the South and East of Danielle and has winds of 45 mph. Although he is expected to take a southerly track and reach hurricane status in a day or so, he is also expected to curve north over the weekend.

Forecast/Discussion: Wednesday 8/25/2010

Discussion: Once again, temperatures this morning are starting in the middle 60's which has been a needed break. Today should be another beautiful day, with clear skies and relatively cooler temperatures. Cities in the northern part of the area such as Hamilton and Hackelburg may not even reach 90 today!

Forecast:
HI: 89-92F
LO: 64-66
RAIN: 10% or less

Tropical Update: Hurricane Danielle has weakened unexpectedly over the last 24 hours, however she is still expected to gain strength over the next few days. She is still predicted to be a "fish" and curve north out to sea long before she ever poses a threat to land.

Forecast/Discussion: Tuesday 8/24/2010

The air outside feels wonderful this morning with temperatures in the mid 60's and lower humidity, both of which are a result of dry air that arrived yesterday afternoon. Today's forecast is about as simple as they come. Expect temps to max out in the mid-90's, with heat indices only in the upper-90's. Rain chances look slim, near 10%. Overnight lows should be just cool enough again tonight to open up the windows and turn off the A/C.


Forecast
HI: 94-96F
LO: 63-65F
RAIN: 10% or less

Tropical Update:
Hurricane Danielle formed yesterday and has reached CAT 2 status as of this morning. Although she will be fun to watch, Danielle is expected to curve to the north and stay out to sea. This is called a "fish" in weather terms.

Forecast/Discussion: Saturday 8/21/2010

Today should be mostly sunny with high's in the middle 90's and a chance of an afternoon thunderstorm. A shortwave trough forming across the TN valley, coupled with PW > 2 inches, and decent CAPE values, will initiate showers and storms this afternoon over TN and extreme N AL. Outflow boundaries traveling south from these storms will be the cause for any rain we receive today. Although parameters are supportive of locally heavy rainfall once again today, I just don't feel confident of a widespread event.

Having that said, expect a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms today- with potential for isolated heavy amounts. High's should top out between 94-96F, and overnight low's in the mid 70's.