Discussion: Temps trended cooler today with high's maxing our in the upper 90's area wide. Isolated thunderstorms have developed along a large outflow boundary, or pre-frontal surface trough, which has spawned off of our cold front draped across AR/TN. Expect thunderstorms to increase in coverage and intensity until sundown and then weaken due to the lack of surface heating. Some storms may be severe due to some impressive thermodynamic profiles over our area. The main threat with these storms may be localized flash flooding with precipitable water values near 2 inches. With light winds aloft, these storms will tend to "sit" in one location and dump quite a bit of rain. However, as country music artist Luke Bryan says, "Rain is a Good Thing". Be aware of gusty winds with these storms as well. Wet microburst potential is relatively high for our area and could create wind gusts in the 50+ mph range.
Summary: Expect an increase in coverage throughout the evening with a 50% chance of any location in our area receiving precipitation. 1-2 inches is possible with the stronger storms. Tomorrow seems to be more of the same with high's slightly cooler.
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