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Monday, August 16, 2010

Forecast/Discussion: Monday 8/16/2010


Almost everyone in the tri-county area received substantial rainfall this weekend. The upcoming days should be no different as the tropical disturbance that brought us all this rain has made a big loop and is now back over water in the gulf. The models have been hinting at this scenario for a while, and I am impressed to see it happening. The NHC has been monitoring this situation as well, and has 50% confidence of intensification into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours. All of this means two things for us in NW Al....cooler temps, and increased rain chances. Several factors will influence our weather this week, but for today the big player will be a "warm front" moving north through the state. This should help to initiate thunderstorms later in the day as temperatures/dewpoints climb.

HI: 93-95F LO:72-74F %RAIN: 30%
*Rain chances should increase this afternoon and fire along the warm front lifting across the state. Coupled with abundant moisture and daytime heating, a few storms could be strong (although not quite like yesterday).

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