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Wednesday, August 11, 2010

Forecast/Discussion: 8/11/2010


Don't expect relief from the heat anytime soon. Today should be a tad warmer than yesterday with high temperatures near 100F. Heat indices should climb to near 110F between 12-3 pm so be careful and drink plenty of water if you have to be outside. Thunderstorms will be strictly delegated by daytime heating and mesoscale boundaries. Don't expect much in the way of rainfall area wide today.

Forecast: Hi: 98-100F Lo: 74-76F Rain%- 10%

Tropical Depression 5 has formed in the gulf since my last forecast, something we have been hinting at for the past few days. It will be interesting to watch how this system evolves over the next few days. Current track has the system landfalling at the LA/MS border Friday morning as a Tropical Storm, then curving to the NE over Central Alabama. However, intensity and track are likley to change in the coming days. Several different scenarios are possible, but for now the track makes sense. More updates to follow soon.

The one good thing regardless of track with this system is the increase of deep moisture over the next few days. Our rain chances should increase. It's a double edged sword however, because with an increase in moisture also comes an increase in heat index. Regardless, I am always welcome to increased rain chances in the dog days of summer.

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