Discussion:
Well the rain has held off so far today allowing temperatures to climb into the mid 90's. Heat indices are currently in the low to mid 100's as dewpoints range from the low-mid 70's. Previous thinking this morning led me to believe we would have rain/thunderstorms by mid-day due to an approaching front (initiator), ample moisture (return flow from the gulf), and the remnants of Bonnie to the West. However, the front has stalled out in North Alabama which explains why areas like Huntsville have seen several inches of rain thus far today. I still expect to see showers increase in coverage throughout the afternoon due to daytime heating and the abundance of moisture, but probably not a full coverage event. With the atmosphere being as warm and saturated, a few strong thunderstorms are not out of the question.
Final Thinking:
Expect showers to increase throughout the evening with isolated strong storms. Overnight lows look to be pretty uniform throughout the area somewhere between 72-74F. Rain chances look to be 1 in 3 overnight.
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